Betting on spot price of HDDs - WickedFire - Affiliate Marketing Forum

geomark · 10-17-2011, 01:20 AM

Anyone know a way to bet on the spot price of hard disc drives? Certain world events are going to result in a big shortage very soon.

suave · 10-17-2011, 01:32 AM

Pornographic videos are no longer allowed to use any kind of compression technology.

freezeprogram · 10-17-2011, 01:38 AM

Japan is almost back online after the tsunami. Thailand impact isn't known yet.

Price of a 1TB HDD has fallen 13% since January 2011.

So, are you sure about this?

r3p1v · 10-17-2011, 01:50 AM

buy the companies that manufacture them

geomark · 10-17-2011, 01:57 AM

Here's a link to a story at Forbes
Thailand Floods Could Be A Washout For Disk-Drive Companies - Forbes

I'm in Thailand watching the disaster unfold. It's getting worse. They just announced evacuation of the last big industrial estate in Bangkok as efforts to prevent it from flooding have failed. So all of WD's factories in Thailand are now out of commission. Thailand provides 60% of the world's HDDs and WD is the largest producer.

Looking for some kind of way to bet directly on the price of HDDs rather than buying the stock of a manufacturer who may or may not be impacted by the flooding.

nichemanna · 10-17-2011, 02:03 AM

best way is to stockpile em physically. if you are going to buy forwards you can do it via the spot price of ram. It's a pretty illiquid market though. Used mainly by corporates for hedging via international banks.

vgeek · 10-17-2011, 02:46 AM

Why would you buy stock? You'd be wanting to short the stock because their revenues will decline from lower output because of the flooding.

geomark · 10-17-2011, 02:54 AM

As in buy the stock of an unaffected manufacturer in anticipation that they will take more market share and be able to command higher prices in the face of a shortage caused by WD's production being knocked out. But that's less interesting than being able to bet directly on the price of HDDs, if there was a way to do that.

geomark · 10-17-2011, 03:17 AM

Seagate made an announcement a few days ago that they would also be affected and HDD prices are going to rise.
PC prices set to climb as Seagate joins HDD affected - SlashGear

10-17-2011, 01:20 AM	#1 (permalink)
geomark Help Me Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: LOS Posts: 1,157 iTrader: 1 / 100%	Betting on spot price of HDDs Anyone know a way to bet on the spot price of hard disc drives? Certain world events are going to result in a big shortage very soon. Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter __________________ It means what I say it means - Thaksin Shinawatra

10-17-2011, 01:32 AM	#2 (permalink)
suave Content Wizard Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: USA Posts: 231 iTrader: 7 / 100%	Pornographic videos are no longer allowed to use any kind of compression technology. Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter __________________ I WRITE LSI CONTENT FOR $2.00/100 WORDS. 100% NATIVE ENGLISH/AMERICAN WRITER. 48 HOUR TURNAROUND TIMES. ALWAYS NETWORKING.

10-17-2011, 01:38 AM	#3 (permalink)
freezeprogram Banned Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 167 iTrader: 1 / 100%	Japan is almost back online after the tsunami. Thailand impact isn't known yet. Price of a 1TB HDD has fallen 13% since January 2011. So, are you sure about this? Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter

10-17-2011, 01:50 AM	#4 (permalink)
r3p1v Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 1,223 iTrader: 12 / 100%	buy the companies that manufacture them Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter

10-17-2011, 01:57 AM	#5 (permalink)
geomark Help Me Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: LOS Posts: 1,157 iTrader: 1 / 100%	Here's a link to a story at Forbes Thailand Floods Could Be A Washout For Disk-Drive Companies - Forbes I'm in Thailand watching the disaster unfold. It's getting worse. They just announced evacuation of the last big industrial estate in Bangkok as efforts to prevent it from flooding have failed. So all of WD's factories in Thailand are now out of commission. Thailand provides 60% of the world's HDDs and WD is the largest producer. Looking for some kind of way to bet directly on the price of HDDs rather than buying the stock of a manufacturer who may or may not be impacted by the flooding. Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter __________________ It means what I say it means - Thaksin Shinawatra

10-17-2011, 02:03 AM	#6 (permalink)
nichemanna Member Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 90 iTrader: 2 / 100%	best way is to stockpile em physically. if you are going to buy forwards you can do it via the spot price of ram. It's a pretty illiquid market though. Used mainly by corporates for hedging via international banks. Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter

10-17-2011, 02:46 AM	#7 (permalink)
vgeek #8 in '12 Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: ky Posts: 576 iTrader: 3 / 100%	Why would you buy stock? You'd be wanting to short the stock because their revenues will decline from lower output because of the flooding. Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter

10-17-2011, 02:54 AM	#8 (permalink)
geomark Help Me Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: LOS Posts: 1,157 iTrader: 1 / 100%	As in buy the stock of an unaffected manufacturer in anticipation that they will take more market share and be able to command higher prices in the face of a shortage caused by WD's production being knocked out. But that's less interesting than being able to bet directly on the price of HDDs, if there was a way to do that. Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter __________________ It means what I say it means - Thaksin Shinawatra

10-17-2011, 03:17 AM	#9 (permalink)
geomark Help Me Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: LOS Posts: 1,157 iTrader: 1 / 100%	Seagate made an announcement a few days ago that they would also be affected and HDD prices are going to rise. PC prices set to climb as Seagate joins HDD affected - SlashGear Share Share this post on Digg Del.icio.us Technorati Twitter __________________ It means what I say it means - Thaksin Shinawatra

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