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Old 10-05-2006, 09:19 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Checkthisout US Housing Market set to crash hard

http://www.latimes.com/classified/re...ome-realestate

Good thing the stock market is picking up.
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Old 10-05-2006, 09:20 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Oh bam, sold my house last week. PHEW. I'm soooo nervous.
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Old 10-05-2006, 09:34 PM   #3 (permalink)
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California's housing market has been ridiciulous for a long time now. You can buy a rundown slum in Compton for the same price you can get 4000 square foot 5 bedroom house in many other parts of the country.
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Old 10-05-2006, 09:37 PM   #4 (permalink)
 
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real estate markets dont work the same way as stock markets
a "real estate crash" takes months or years to happen

personally I hope everyting slows down so I can buy a condo somewhere in manhattan within 12 months. recessions are the best time to go shopping for real estate
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Old 10-05-2006, 09:54 PM   #5 (permalink)
 
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Yeah, permits are way down. We are building way less than half the amount of houses per month than we were 2 months ago. Jobs on hold blah blah blah. From everything I've seen it is supposed to stay flat or go down a little bit until the middle of 07.
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Old 10-05-2006, 09:59 PM   #6 (permalink)
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NYC is still rising.. wish it would crash.
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Old 10-05-2006, 10:03 PM   #7 (permalink)
 
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NYC is still rising.. wish it would crash.
would you buy if it did?
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Old 10-05-2006, 11:31 PM   #8 (permalink)
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How can we help make the crash inevitable? I want to own property there.
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:02 AM   #9 (permalink)
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It's been slowing down here (so cal) for a while now... still rediculously expensive, but still slowing down.
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:08 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Oh bam, sold my house last week. PHEW. I'm soooo nervous.
dude, you just sold all of your stocks a few days ago, now your house, what are you planning to do?
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:27 AM   #11 (permalink)
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Manhattan prices are just ridicoulous right now.A studio rental in a decent neighborhood starts at around $1300.
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Old 10-06-2006, 09:28 AM   #12 (permalink)
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dude, you just sold all of your stocks a few days ago, now your house, what are you planning to do?
I'm not sure... I applied to HBS so if I get in that is going to cost about 130K. If I don't get in I'll probably put most if it in a CD for a few months, day trade some of it. Daytrading is more fun than gambling!
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:17 PM   #13 (permalink)
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a good sign of house prices carshing is if the interest rates are rocketing up.
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:22 PM   #14 (permalink)
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a good sign of house prices carshing is if the interest rates are rocketing up.
interest rates rising has a depressing effect on all asset values, not just homes.
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:42 PM   #15 (permalink)
 
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interest rates rising has a depressing effect on all asset values, not just homes.
how much higher do you think we're going?
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:49 PM   #16 (permalink)
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I'm waiting at least a year before I buy anything.
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:51 PM   #17 (permalink)
 
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If you are in a hot market and looking to buy a new house, December is the time to do it. Because of the new sarbanes oxly (sp?) rules, builders have to take a loss on the land they bought at inflated prices. The loss will be the difference in what they paid to what it is worth today, which isn't much. Builders in places like Vegas and I'm assuming Florida will be taking million dollar hits, so they will be doing whatever it takes to make up what they can. This equals huge incentives in December.
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Old 10-06-2006, 02:05 PM   #18 (permalink)
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how much higher do you think we're going?
I wish i knew the answer to that question definitively...cause I would mortgage everything i own, buy a seat on the exchange, setup a JBO (joint back office) to get the maximum haircut, and then load up on that trade.
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Old 10-06-2006, 05:10 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Manhattan prices are just ridicoulous right now.A studio rental in a decent neighborhood starts at around $1300.
Thats crazy, fuck that i would move, here in oregon i'm only spending 1,000/month for a 5 bd 2bth, 2 living room, two kitchen, den and bar house. You couldn't convince me to spend 1300 on a studio.

but i suppose in different areas there are also differences in per capita income. Like average oregonians probably don't make on average more than californians do. So the price differences may just be natural to the income.
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Old 10-06-2006, 05:15 PM   #20 (permalink)
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I'm moving to northern california and looking at apartments this weekend. I'm looking at spending $1400/mth for a 1 bed, 1 bath around 650 sq. ft.

Fun times!
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Old 10-06-2006, 05:16 PM   #21 (permalink)
 
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Thats crazy, fuck that i would move, here in oregon i'm only spending 1,000/month for a 5 bd 2bth, 2 living room, two kitchen, den and bar house. You couldn't convince me to spend 1300 on a studio.

but i suppose in different areas there are also differences in per capita income. Like average oregonians probably don't make on average more than californians do. So the price differences may just be natural to the income.
Holy fuck thats crazy, I should move to oregon. The apartment I'm looking at getting right now is a 2 bd, 2bath for $1900/month.
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Old 10-06-2006, 05:52 PM   #22 (permalink)
 
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you're not paying apartment, you pay for the view you get when you look out your window
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Old 10-06-2006, 05:55 PM   #23 (permalink)
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Engaged, where is that from:

In the Ferrari or Jaguar switchin four lanes
With the top down screamin out
Money ain't a thang

??

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Old 10-06-2006, 06:16 PM   #24 (permalink)
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Holy fuck thats crazy, I should move to oregon. The apartment I'm looking at getting right now is a 2 bd, 2bath for $1900/month.

Yeah, what area of Oregon?
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Old 10-06-2006, 06:30 PM   #25 (permalink)
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Engaged, where is that from:

In the Ferrari or Jaguar switchin four lanes
With the top down screamin out
Money ain't a thang

??

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Old 10-06-2006, 09:18 PM   #26 (permalink)
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Yeah, what area of Oregon?
roseburg. its central oregon right below eugene.
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Old 10-07-2006, 06:07 AM   #27 (permalink)
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California's housing market has been ridiciulous for a long time now. You can buy a rundown slum in Compton for the same price you can get 4000 square foot 5 bedroom house in many other parts of the country.
Yep. Same with Echo Park and Culver City. Something's gotta give. Just simple economics.
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Old 10-07-2006, 01:38 PM   #28 (permalink)
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Been a long time coming and I'm glad it's happening. The market never should have gotten as crazy as it was anyhow. We started looking about 3-4 years ago, and should have gotten the $330,000 place we once looked at, because it went up to about $650,000 here in Northern Virginia! One model we were looking at ove the course of a couple years went from costing $350,000 to $535,000 - ridiculous. That same model is back down to around $400-430,000 now so my goal is now set (Aspirations Into Done Deeds: Wicked Fire Under Your Ass) and we're looking to buy next year.
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