Rigging Polls
Today Wikileaks released Podesta emails: https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551
Email starts out with a request for recommendations on “oversamples for polling” in order to “maximize what we get out of our media polling.”
Email also attaches 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations.
https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails//fileid/26551/7326
In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:
– Over-sample Hispanics
– Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)
– Over-sample the Native American population
It recommends “consistently monitoring” samples to makes sure they’re “not too old” and “has enough African American and Hispanic voters.” Meanwhile, “independent” voters in Tampa and Orlando are apparently more dem friendly so the report suggests filling up independent quotas in those cities first.
– Consistently monitor the sample to ensure it is not too old, and that it has enough African American and Hispanic voters to reflect the state.
– On Independents: Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida (check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first.
it’s suggested that national polls over sample “key districts / regions” and “ethnic” groups “as needed.”
– General election benchmark, 800 sample, with potential over samples in key districts/regions
– Benchmark polling in targeted races, with ethnic over samples as needed
– Targeting tracking polls in key races, with ethnic over samples as needed
Sarcasm: Truly scientific polls. Ignore the other polls, they are not scientific. Believe and trust the media scientific polls.
Guys, if you read this far, you've just done something illegal:
[ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_X16_KzX1vE[/ame]
Everything you learn, you should learn from CNN <- advice from CNN
Today Wikileaks released Podesta emails: https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551
Email starts out with a request for recommendations on “oversamples for polling” in order to “maximize what we get out of our media polling.”
Email also attaches 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations.
https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails//fileid/26551/7326
In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:
– Over-sample Hispanics
– Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)
– Over-sample the Native American population
It recommends “consistently monitoring” samples to makes sure they’re “not too old” and “has enough African American and Hispanic voters.” Meanwhile, “independent” voters in Tampa and Orlando are apparently more dem friendly so the report suggests filling up independent quotas in those cities first.
– Consistently monitor the sample to ensure it is not too old, and that it has enough African American and Hispanic voters to reflect the state.
– On Independents: Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida (check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first.
it’s suggested that national polls over sample “key districts / regions” and “ethnic” groups “as needed.”
– General election benchmark, 800 sample, with potential over samples in key districts/regions
– Benchmark polling in targeted races, with ethnic over samples as needed
– Targeting tracking polls in key races, with ethnic over samples as needed
Sarcasm: Truly scientific polls. Ignore the other polls, they are not scientific. Believe and trust the media scientific polls.
Guys, if you read this far, you've just done something illegal:
[ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_X16_KzX1vE[/ame]
Everything you learn, you should learn from CNN <- advice from CNN
