High Yield Debt Bonds...New Financial Crisis?

jryan54

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Aug 7, 2007
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Hey there my fellow gay webmasters!

The other night I was trawling the web looking at stuff and came across an interesting audio webinar by H.S Dent, who is a pretty well known(infamous?) bear.

Anyway, the webinar went through the current status of the junk bond market and pointed out some alarming irregularities. Firstly, because of constant QE the money that is getting pumped into the economy needs to go somewhere and invariably is ending up in the higher yield debt products. Secondly, the fracking companies make up around 17% of the junk bond market in the U.S.

So basically Dent is making the argument with the oil price currently at $49/barrel that fracking is unprofitable in the U.S and subsequently there could be significant defaults within the junkbond market which is now worth over 2 trillion dollars. He believes it could be the trigger for another global downturn.

So what say you all...is the current low oil and commodity prices going to touch off another issue within the financial system because of all the funny money floating around the U.S which has ended up in junk bonds??

I'm not sure...but I do think a market correction is def coming at some point...you cant continue to inject those sort of funds through OMO without creating bubbles.

Interested in Opinions...
 


harry dent. read some of his stuff re: market predictions based on long-term demogrpaihc patterns, etc. Like any market forecaster, he has his fans aa well as detractors. anyhoo, curious to know what he thinks are the opportunities in such a scenario. gold?
 
Harvey Dent? I wouldn't trust anything that guy says. That guy is one two-faced son of a bitch.
 
Jesus, don't listen to these clowns like Dent, Peter Schiff, etc... they are GREAT at drumming up media attention for hocking their books to the "best seller" category -- but their overall investment records are horrible.

If you want to actually make money and not jerk-off to bull-shit theory hype then follow those who have long-term, excellent track records which speak for themselves... like Buffett, Icahn and a long list of others who have documented returns.

How Top-Performing Hedge Funds Found Gems and Gamed 'Stupid' Wall Street - Bloomberg